SDSignal Desk

Shopping, not chat, is Muse’s breakout use as Meta passes 10 million users

· Updated · Signal Desk newsroom

Analysis of reporting by TechCrunch. How we work

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Meta says its Muse agent has passed 10 million users, with about a quarter using it daily and more than a quarter of engaged shoppers averaging purchases above $200. Meta forecasts Muse will out-earn its social apps per user, a model that puts commerce incentives inside a personal agent.

Key takeaways

  • Muse passed 10 million users, matching outside estimates from Sensor Tower.
  • About a quarter of people who set it up use it daily, the CEO said.
  • More than a quarter of engaged users shopping through Muse averaged purchases above $200.
  • Meta plans to keep Muse mostly free and take a cut of commerce, charging power users for top models or tokens.
  • Meta expects a more than tenfold compute-cost improvement within a year, which it says will make Muse profitable at scale.

What Meta reported

On its third-quarter call, Meta said Muse has passed 10 million users, matching outside estimates from Sensor Tower, TechCrunch reports. The CEO said about a quarter of people who set it up now use it daily, and that more than a quarter of engaged users shopping through the agent averaged purchases above $200. He quoted Plaid, whose connector powers Muse checkout, saying it had not seen activity like this on any other service. Meta now forecasts that Muse will eventually earn more per user than its social apps do today.

Its plan is to keep Muse free for most users, take a percentage of commerce, and charge power users for top models or more tokens. Meta says it is building capacity to serve more than a billion people over the next few years. Muse is also central to its smart-glasses strategy. TechCrunch reports Reality Labs losses are expected to narrow from $19.1 billion in 2025 to $15 billion this year; other accounts of the same call cited an expected $18 billion to $19 billion (non-voting shares), so the figure depends on the source.

Why shopping matters

An agent people trust to spend money on their behalf is a stickier and more lucrative product than a chatbot, and daily habit plus real spending is what turns an AI product into a business. People are also wiring Muse into email and calendars for everyday productivity. The CEO argued this shows users trust the Muse Secure VM setup, and promised a Muse Confidential VM that would keep even Meta from seeing user content. If it ships as described and its claims are verified, that would be a meaningful privacy step; Meta launched Muse with Secure VM and Sentinel approvals as its trust pitch (Muse’s privacy design).

Adoption is not the same as trust, though, and the claim that usage proves trust came from the company selling the product. Muse has had setbacks, including a paused sharing feature after chats appeared online (Muse sharing paused) and a disputed claim that it read private messages, which Meta denies (Meta disputes claim).

Incentives and the Muse network

An agent with bank connections, purchase authority and personal correspondence is a high-value target, and its incentives cut in one direction: Meta earns more the more Muse buys. The next phase raises the stakes. Meta wants a Muse network in which a user’s agent coordinates with friends’ and family’s agents and talks to businesses’ agents rather than their websites. That could make commerce smoother, and could also place Meta in the middle of a large share of consumer transactions, with agents negotiating under rules users cannot see. Businesses may need their own agents to be reachable.

The economics rest on Meta’s expectation of a more than tenfold compute-cost improvement within a year. More in our Meta coverage, AI agents coverage and future of work coverage.

Who feels it

Retailers and brands
Agent-driven shoppers shift power to whoever runs the agent.
Consumers
Convenient purchasing, with payment access held by a company paid on transaction volume.
Fintech
Agentic checkout raises the bar on fraud controls and authorization design.

What to watch

  1. Whether Muse Confidential VM ships and how its claims are verified.
  2. Meta’s disclosed take rate on Muse commerce.
  3. Progress on the promised tenfold compute-cost improvement.
  4. The first agent-to-agent features in the Muse network.

FAQ

How many people use Meta Muse?

More than 10 million, with about a quarter of those who set it up using it daily.

How does Meta plan to make money from Muse?

Keep it mostly free, take a cut of commerce, and charge power users for top models or more tokens.

What is the Muse network?

Meta’s planned system where users’ agents coordinate with friends’ and businesses’ agents.

Is Muse profitable?

Not yet; Meta says a tenfold compute-cost improvement within a year would make it profitable at scale.

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