AI · Oct 21, 2026
OpenAI on Google Cloud lets companies spend Google commitments on GPT-6, and that changes procurementGoogle says AI Mode queries earn less than web searches; its fix is more ads in the chat
· Updated · Signal Desk newsroom
Analysis of reporting by Ars Technica. How we work

Alphabet’s Q3 revenue rose 25% to almost $128 billion, but EPS of $2.12 missed $3.02 estimates and the stock fell almost 12%. Philipp Schindler said each AI Mode query earns less, with fewer, cheaper ads. Search volume growth slowed to 12%, and capex hit $51.4 billion.
Key takeaways
- Revenue was almost $128 billion, up 25%; net income topped $26 billion but fell nearly $9 billion year over year.
- EPS was $2.12 versus $3.02 expected; the stock fell almost 12% by Ars’ publication.
- AI Mode queries earn less than comparable web searches, with fewer and cheaper ads.
- Search volume growth slowed to 12%, from 17% in Q2 and 19% in Q1; search revenue was flat.
- Capex hit $51.4 billion; Google targets more than $300 billion of AI investment in 2027.
The quiet part, out loud
Alphabet’s third quarter brought almost $128 billion in revenue, up 25%, and more than $26 billion in net income, but net income was nearly $9 billion lower than a year earlier. Earnings per share came in at $2.12 against expectations of $3.02, and the stock fell almost 12% by the time Ars Technica published. Chief Business Officer Philipp Schindler said each AI Mode query earns less than a comparable web search, with fewer ads that cost less. Search volume growth slowed to 12%, from 17% in Q2 and 19% in Q1, and search revenue was flat. Publishers and sites like Reddit have lost traffic to AI answers for months (publishing upended); now the company leading the shift feels it. AI search is better for many questions; it isn’t yet a better business.
More ads in the conversation
Google’s answer is more ads in AI Mode, expanding internationally (global AI ads), plus US multi-turn ads that change as a conversation goes on. Google says its research shows users find them more relevant, and that advertisers may need time to understand AI search ads. But an ad that updates with each turn differs from a sponsored link atop a page: the more answer and ad blend, the harder it is to tell advice from a pitch, especially as Google ties connected Gmail and Photos data to ad targeting (ad targeting). That is where trust could erode at scale.
The spending
- Capex
- $51.4 billion in the quarter; 2026 guidance stays at $195 billion to $205 billion.
- 2027
- Google targets more than $300 billion of AI investment.
- Cash flow
- Negative cash flow deepened from $5.8 billion to $9.06 billion.
- Cloud
- Crossed $30 billion and beat estimates, more than doubling over the past year.
The bet
The bull case is real in cloud, but much of that demand comes from AI startups spending venture money; if funding cools, the cushion thins just as search softens. Google is betting the company that AI search becomes as lucrative as ten blue links. If ad load is the main lever, users pay in attention and clarity; fixing the economics with better products would be preferable to more sponsored turns. More in our Google coverage, Gemini coverage and marketing coverage.
Who feels it
- Searchers
- More ads in AI Mode, some changing mid-conversation.
- Advertisers
- Cheaper per-query AI ads to learn.
- Publishers
- Continued traffic loss.
- AI startups
- Their cloud spend props up Google’s growth story.
What to watch
- Revenue per AI Mode query after the expansion.
- Labeling of multi-turn ads.
- Next quarter’s search volume growth.
- Whether the 2027 $300 billion target holds.
FAQ
Does AI search make Google less money?
Yes; Google said each AI Mode query earns less than a comparable web search, with fewer and cheaper ads.
How did Alphabet do in Q3 2026?
Revenue rose 25% to almost $128 billion, but EPS of $2.12 missed $3.02 estimates and net income fell nearly $9 billion.
What are multi-turn ads?
US ads in AI Mode that change as a conversation progresses.
Companies: Google
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